Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000173 0.000192 0.000212 0.000236 0.000262 0.000291 0.000326
2025-02-16 0.000134 0.000161 0.000193 0.000232 0.000281 0.000340 0.000417
2025-02-23 0.000112 0.000141 0.000179 0.000229 0.000296 0.000383 0.000504
2025-03-02 0.000097 0.000129 0.000171 0.000231 0.000314 0.000429 0.000602
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.000119 0.000164 0.000230 0.000328 0.000470 0.000696
2025-03-16 0.000075 0.000107 0.000151 0.000220 0.000327 0.000488 0.000757
2025-03-23 0.000069 0.000100 0.000147 0.000221 0.000341 0.000530 0.000861
2025-03-30 0.000065 0.000098 0.000147 0.000230 0.000367 0.000593 0.001009
2025-04-06 0.000059 0.000091 0.000140 0.000225 0.000370 0.000619 0.001097
2025-04-13 0.000053 0.000083 0.000130 0.000214 0.000362 0.000623 0.001145
2025-04-20 0.000050 0.000079 0.000128 0.000215 0.000375 0.000667 0.001272
2025-04-27 0.000047 0.000078 0.000128 0.000221 0.000396 0.000727 0.001444
2025-05-04 0.000044 0.000073 0.000122 0.000216 0.000399 0.000756 0.001559
2025-05-11 0.000041 0.000070 0.000120 0.000218 0.000413 0.000809 0.001737
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000066 0.000116 0.000216 0.000421 0.000850 0.001895
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000064 0.000114 0.000217 0.000435 0.000907 0.002103
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000061 0.000112 0.000217 0.000446 0.000957 0.002302
2025-06-08 0.000031 0.000057 0.000105 0.000208 0.000436 0.000959 0.002380
2025-06-15 0.000030 0.000055 0.000103 0.000209 0.000449 0.001017 0.002619
2025-06-22 0.000029 0.000055 0.000105 0.000216 0.000479 0.001118 0.003001
2025-06-29 0.000027 0.000052 0.000101 0.000212 0.000479 0.001146 0.003177
2025-07-06 0.000025 0.000048 0.000095 0.000202 0.000463 0.001133 0.003225
2025-07-13 0.000024 0.000047 0.000093 0.000203 0.000476 0.001197 0.003529